| The following four
perspectives are based upon the mental notions of reasonable persons
who read and try to understand Washington's Cash for Clunkers. The amounts of taxpayer
funds are large enough to get the attention of those who ever
purchased or might want to purchase a new car. Reading the
provisions of the proposed bill and accepting that our president is
about to sign it into federal law, it makes sense to try to
understand the different viewpoints of the various groups with a
vested interest in the proposed law.
These four groups are as follows:
1. The government
2. The car buyer under the law
3. The automobile dealers, and
4. The taxpayer who foots the final bill.
The Government Perspective
The bill and its detailed specifications remind me of the horse
that was put together by a committee. It ended up a camel.
For committee work in government, a camel could be considered a roaring
success.
The idea undoubtedly originated from an
environmentalist, whose primary concern is to mitigate (look
it up) a world catastrophe, global warming. This catastrophe
is predicted to strike the earth promptly within the next hundred
years of so. So here we have a catastrophe looming within the
next hundred or thousand years, maybe, and we are diverted from the
here and now recession of unemployment, business failure, and soup
kitchens to deal
with an event in somebody's imagination a hundred years in the
future. Really smart!
A trade-in of an old model gas guzzler (18 mpg or less) is now
worth $3500 - $4500 on the purchase of a new car with 2 to 10 greater
miles per gallon. The clunker will be shredded and
recycled, costing somebody a small pile of money. The auto dealer
will calculate exactly how much your clunker is worth, shredded, on his new car. If you
qualify the government will issue a credit to the car dealer.
On paper, this will reduce what you owe on the car, lowering your
payments, and increasing your mpg by at least two or more miles per
gallon.
While there is an environmentalist's smell to the bill's
qualifications, the primary motivation is clearly a taxpayer subsidy
to purchase a new car manufactured by the government. It is
really simply more stimulus money carved our of already massive debt
designed to get the current recession from going further south.
With stimulus money, of course, the government has no concern for
the long-term cost or other consequences.
"Damn the torpedoes, full speed ahead" is an old sea captain's
philosophy. A billion here, or maybe four billion is really
just chump change. It will stimulate the purchase of up to a
million government cars.
The Democrats in government believe that a subsidy is just like
priming a pump. Prime it once, and it pumps on its own
forever. This, of course, is not true. The taxpayer is
working the handle, and once he stops pumping, he has to prime it
again. Taxpayers are already paying a continuous subsidy to
those who grow corn and manufacture ethanol, the savior of the
renewable world.
Hello! America. Are you awake? OK!
You are awake. But are you listening?
Finally the government believes they are helping the poor buy new
cars. As one astute blogger stated, folks who are driving old
clunkers are those who can afford old clunkers. In the name of
marginal improvements in mileage, they are being encouraged to buy
new, and expensive cars, assume substantial payments they did not
previously have. As soon as their mortgage is 'under water'
(the second they drive the car off the lot), they will be entitled
to a cram down of their principle from their lender. After
months of negotiation, while they drive a new car free of charge,
they will go belly up and the government will own both the car and
the worthless papers. Under water in government and media
double-talk is another term for empathy, bail out, and big brother
to the rescue. Shades of Barney Frank!
Car Buyer's Perspective
Americans live with their cars, which is why so many own two.
Unlike in Europe where you can drive across five countries in a
single day, Americans can spend two days driving across Texas, or
trying to get out of Florida or California. By nature
Americans are always looking for a bargain, the best price
available, a discount coupon, or a leg-up in negotiating. Four
thousand five hundred dollars gets their attention, and the wheels
start turning.
For the seriously cost conscious, the old clunkers are the single
most important way to keep the cost of living down. With
a little nourishment old cars will last forever, they do not
depreciate, and there are no car payments. What better way to
live within a tight budget. Most all folks know this by simply
growing up in America. Most Americans grow up poor, and
through hard work survive into retirement and newer cars.
Financially bright Americans would refuse the thought of ever
buying a new car because of depreciation. A $20,000 car
purchased new is worth $15,000 the moment it is driven off the car
dealer's lot. The vast majority drive off with 80% in a
mortgage and interest of eight percent annually in addition to that.
The average new car purchase loses $5,000 the first day, then makes
interest payments of another $5,000 during the life of the mortgage.
Payments of $400 per month for five years is the minimum cost of
owning a new car.
It would be nice if the $10,000 in immediate and long-term costs
was actually reduced by $3500 or
$4500. This discount coupon is only one bargaining chip
in a tedious and painful process known as negotiating the purchase
of a new car. Car dealers are the experts in this process, and
the purchaser is walking into a lion's den without any weapons.
You think the coupon is actually worth $3500? Read on,
McDuff.
Car Dealer's Perspective
I would prefer a rectal exam to visiting a new car dealer.
The rectal exam will be over in ten seconds, while the pain of
buying a new car starts immediately, and lasts for years.
There is an immediate $5,000 loss from depreciation, and a long-term
obligation of another $5,000 in interest payments alone.
Principle and insurance are on top of that.
The original GM credit card set up exactly the right kind of
customer negotiations with each car dealer. The government
could take a lesson setting up the Cash for Clunkers law if they
simply paid attention. Unfortunately, the government lawmakers
are in bed with car manufacturers, car dealers, and a small army of
DC lobbyists, who will write the final wording of the bill, and the
car buyer will have no say in the process. These are our
elected representatives at work.
For every dollar of purchase, the GM credit card holder received
a full 5% (nickel) return toward the purchase of a new GM car at
some time in the future. These nickels accumulated over all
purchases and become a full 'discount' at new car buying time.
The rules for using the card discount were simple and
straight forward. Contact any GM dealer and negotiate the best
price on the car of your dreams. Just before you sign the
papers you add:
"Oh! I almost forgot my GM credit card earnings. Take that
amount directly off the agreed price of this purchase." And
that is the way it worked. Neither the dealer, the sales
supervisor, now the salesman could use the GM card discount as a
bargaining chip to fatten their own pockets.
Unfortunately the words in the Cash for Clunkers bill will be
written by your elected representatives. They will receive
great 'assistance' from NADA, Chrysler, Government Motors, Ford, the
Federal Reserve, the U.S. Treasury, and all of the banks who need or
need not government 'assistance'. Everybody, including
environmentalists, will have a mighty hand in selecting 'the words',
as Chris Dodd says, in writing the final bill.
As an amendment to the Defense Department bill, Cash for
Clunkers will be buried
within a 3,000 page document that nobody reads. It will be
signed by Obama and become law without as much as an open debate in
our congress. It will be administered directly by automobile
dealers, who will use the discount to finagle as much of the money
as possible, as though it is a gift to whoever can write the most
deceptive and confusing contract.
Hello! What exactly will a $3500 discount be worth when it
is processed, validated, and then negotiated by an auto dealer? It
is all simply a government subsidy to government motors. If it
stimulates more sales, only the taxpayer will bear the ultimate cost.
Tax Payer's Perspective In the final analysis it seems
the taxpayer is the only one with a serious interest in the way
others are spending his money. In the final analysis he is the
only one who is stuck with the consequences both short and long
term. There are many.
Crunching the numbers from shredding a million guzzlers, one
perspective is exactly how much this will save us from global
warming 100 years from now. Accepting the average person
drives 7500 miles a year, the 2 mpg savings reduces annual gasoline
consumption by 41 gallons. This saves the new car buyer
$114 a year at $2.75 a gallon. Remember, however, he is now paying
$300 to $500 per month in new car payments. His gas savings
reduces his monthly costs by $9.50, and his payments go down from
$450.00 to $440.50 each month. Whoop de do!! The car
buyer really makes out on this deal! The net effect of this one
million (or four million) cars purchased is a savings of 41 million
gallons of gasoline. That sounds like a lot of gasoline!
As they say on the TV ads: "But wait!" what kind of impact
does that have on global warming? Forty-one million gallons of
gas (saved) is almost exactly 12% of a single day's consumption in
the United States, ignoring all the many millions of cars operated all over the world.
A 12% savings of a single day is a small fraction of one of our 365
days. The annual savings in gasoline consumption is
0.000326485, give or take a hair. Selecting words, as Chris
Dodd likes to do, this savings is 3 ten-thousandths of one
percent savings in gasoline consumption in a year.
While environmentalists might agree that this is not much of a
savings, their immediate response would be to think how much would
be saved in a hundred years. Environmentalists love to raise
the tide by spitting in the ocean. Just imagine how much we
could raise the level of the oceans if we all spit at the same
time! Forever! Hello: Start spitting, everybody.
Where the taxpayer really gets burned is when he figures how much
this single government subsidy is costing him, personally, to help a
poor person buy a new car. First, this will not help poor
people, as most of the brighter ones know better than to buy new
cars. Those who are suckered into signing a contract for five
years are no different from those who signed sub-prime loans they
could not afford, and here we go again. Then the banks will be
asked to cram-down their loans, taking another loss for the
government, and be blamed for their own greed. All the while,
the buyer is suckered into buying a new car. It is
happening now all over the country in the continuing housing crisis.
Let's see! The current crisis was originated by congress
who convinced poor folks to buy homes they could not afford.
To avoid evicting them, let's now leave them in their homes. The
government can charge them rent for the houses they could not
afford. This rent money will disappear into the taxpayers
black hole now in Washington, just like the Social Security Trust
Fund.
Then we can do the same thing again with automobile purchases.
No more repossessions. No more car payments. Just new
cars for everybody!!!
Finally we can cram health insurance into overhead of every
business in the country. Thanks, Walmart! As large and
small businesses close their doors, the slow migration of insurers
from private to government insurance is assured. This will
destroy 150 million happy folks with private insurance today in
order to give free health coverage to an additional 10 million folks
(of the 30 million) who are currently uninsured.
We have not even begun to consider how much additional government
revenue will be generated through cap and trade and new energy
legislation.
Hurry up Washington, before the crisis ends! Is it possible
to bankrupt the country in the first six months of change we can
believe in? As Sarah Palin would say "You betcha!" And
not a single legislator in Washington has the guts to pull the rug
out from under Obama's unelected czars who are stuffing the laws
with amendments that nobody reads.
Welcome to America. It has already been rebuilt, brick by
brick, and the unsustainable debt we have authorized in the last six
months will carry America to her grave.
Obama has already cooked America's goose through signing bills
that nobody has read. While the legislature's approval ratings
can go no lower, we now have another layer of unelected czars
pulling the strings in Washington. Nobody has the guts to blow
the whistle on Obama and his unelected henchmen.
Unfortunately, Eric Holder was right! The most powerful and
almighty officials in Washington represent our nation of cowards.
Not a one of them will as much as lift a finger.
As one of the powerless, I know exactly which finger to lift!!!
And what is Washington's next project? How about giving
$16,000 to every individual who might want to buy a home, at
government expense, of course? Those few folks who still
report income and pay taxes will pay the Piper dearly.
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